48 Risk management and control.


This section describes the Group’s approach to risk management. It covers the overall approach that applies to all risks, and includes a detailed review of risks within the Group’s key businesses.

Risk management objectives

The Group’s primary objective in undertaking risk management activity is to manage risk exposures in line with risk appetite, minimising its exposure to unexpected financial loss and limiting the potential for deviation from anticipated outcomes. In this respect, a framework of limits and qualitative statements, aligned with the Group’s risk appetite, is in place for material exposures.

Risk management approach

A significant part of the Group’s business involves the acceptance and management of risk. The Group is exposed to insurance, market, credit, liquidity and operational risks and operates a formal risk management framework to ensure that all significant risks are identified and managed. The risk factors mentioned below should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties.

Insurance risk: the risk arising from higher claims being experienced than anticipated.

Market risk: the risk arising from fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, share prices and other relevant market prices.

Credit risk: the risk of loss if another party fails to perform its financial obligations to the Group.

Liquidity risk: the risk that the Group, though solvent, does not have sufficient financial resources available to enable it to meet its obligations as they fall due, or can only secure them at excessive cost.

Operational risk: the risk arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or from external events.

Contagion risk: the occurrence of a risk in one part of the Group may result in contagion elsewhere in the Group.

An explanation of the risk framework and the methods used to monitor and assess risk exposures can be found in the Corporate governance report section.

Management of risks

The Group seeks to manage its exposures to risk through control techniques which ensure that the residual risk exposures are within acceptable tolerances agreed by the Board. The key control techniques for the major categories of risk exposure are summarised in the following sections.

Insurance risk

Insurance risk is implicit in the Group’s insurance business and arises as a consequence of the type and volume of business written and the concentration of risk in particular policies or groups of policies subject to the same risks. A detailed review of the Group’s inherent residual risks associated with insurance products is included below. Insurance risk is managed using the following techniques:

Policies and delegated authorities for underwriting, pricing and reinsurance

The Group’s insurance risk policy sets out the overall framework for the management of insurance risk. As part of the framework, a structure of delegated pricing and underwriting authorities is in place. Pricing is based on assumptions, such as mortality and persistency, which have regard to past experience and to trends. Insurance exposures are limited through reinsurance. Overall, the Group seeks to be conservative in its acceptance of insurance risks by establishing strict underwriting criteria and limits. The underwriting policy is clearly documented, setting out risks which are unacceptable and the terms applicable for non-standard risks.

Reinsurance is used to reduce potential loss to the Group from individual large risks and catastrophic events. It may also be used to manage capital or to provide access to specialist underwriting expertise. The Group makes extensive use of reinsurance for its UK individual protection business, placing a proportion of all risks meeting prescribed criteria.

The principal General insurance reinsurances are excess of loss catastrophe treaties, under which the cost of claims from a weather event, in excess of an agreed retention level, is recovered from insurers.

Reserving policy

All subsidiaries writing insurance business have a documented reserving policy setting out the basis on which liabilities are to be determined using statistical analysis and actuarial experience. Policies for each subsidiary are in line with locally established actuarial techniques, relevant regulation and legislation. Further details of the assumption setting process are included in Note 34.

Market risk

The Group exposure to market risk is influenced by one or more external factors, including changes in specified interest rates, financial instrument prices, foreign exchange rates, and indices of prices or rates.

Significant areas where the Group is exposed to these risks are:

  • assets backing insurance and investment contracts other than unit linked contracts;
  • assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies; and
  • other financial assets and liabilities

The Group’s market risk policy sets out the overall framework for the management of market risk. The policy is reinforced by more granular investment policies for long term and other business, which have due regard to the nature of liabilities and guarantees and other embedded options given to policyholders.

The Group manages market risk using the following methods:

Asset liability matching

The Group manages its assets and liabilities in accordance with relevant regulatory requirements, reflecting the differing types of liabilities it has in each business.

For business such as immediate annuities, which is sensitive to interest rate risk, analysis of the liabilities is undertaken to create a portfolio of securities, the value of which changes in line with the value of liabilities when interest rates change. This type of analysis helps protect profits from changing interest rates. Interest rate risk cannot be completely eliminated, due to the nature of the liabilities and early redemption options contained in the assets.

For businesses where a range of asset types, including equity and property, are held to meet liabilities, the Group uses stochastic models to assess the impact of a range of future return scenarios on investment values and associated liabilities. This allows the Group to devise an investment and with-profits policyholder bonus strategy which optimises returns to its policyholders over time, whilst limiting the capital requirements associated with these businesses. The Group uses this method extensively in connection with its UK with-profits business.

Derivatives

The Group uses derivatives to reduce market risk. The most widely used derivatives are exchange-traded equity futures and swaps. The Group may use futures to facilitate efficient asset allocation. In addition, derivatives are used to improve asset liability matching and to manage interest rate, foreign exchange and inflation risks. It is the Group’s policy that amounts at risk through derivative transactions are covered by cash or corresponding assets and that swaps are collateralised to reduce counterparty exposure.

Interest rate risk

Interest rate risk is the risk that the Group is exposed to lower returns or loss as a direct or indirect result of fluctuations in the value of, or income from, specific assets and liabilities arising from changes in underlying interest rates.

The Group is exposed to interest rate risk on the investment portfolio it maintains to meet the obligations and commitments under its non-linked insurance and investment contracts, in that the proceeds from the assets may not be sufficient to meet the Group’s obligations to policyholders.

To mitigate the risk that guarantees and commitments are not met, the Group purchases financial instruments, which broadly match the expected non-participating policy benefits payable, by their nature and term. The composition of the investment portfolio is governed by the nature of the insurance or savings liabilities, the expected rate of return applicable on each class of asset and the capital available to meet the price fluctuations for each asset class, relative to the liabilities they support.

Additionally, fluctuations in interest rates will vary the repayments on variable rate debt issued by the Group (Note 35).

Asset liability matching significantly reduces the Group’s exposure to interest rate risk. Sensitivity to interest rate changes is included in Table 2 of Note 46 and Table 6 and Table 7 of Note 48.

Inflation risk

Inflation risk is the potential for loss as a result of relative or absolute changes in inflation rates. The Group is exposed to inflation risk in two specific areas.

  • Certain non-linked contracts, such as annuities, may provide for future benefits to be paid taking account of changes in the level of inflation. Contracts in payment may also include an annual adjustment for movements in price indices, subject to an annual cap. The Group seeks to manage the risk of movements in price indices through an appropriate investment strategy including the use of inflation swaps.
  • In writing long term business, the Group makes assumptions regarding the future costs of product servicing. The assumptions take account of changes in price indices and the costs of employment, with stress testing evaluating the effect of significant deviations on the Group’s capital position.

Currency risk

The Group is potentially exposed to loss as a result of fluctuations in the value of, or income from, assets denominated in foreign currencies. The Group manages its currency risk exposure in the following way:

  • In respect of long term business assets and liabilities denominated in non-sterling currencies, the Group protects its exposure to exchange rate fluctuations by backing obligations with investments in the same currency.
  • Balance sheet foreign exchange currency translation exposure in respect of the Group’s international subsidiaries is actively managed in accordance with a policy, agreed by the Group Board, which allows net foreign currency assets to be hedged through the use of derivatives.

As described in Note 47, the Group is not directly exposed to risks on unit linked contracts. Detailed risk disclosures have not been presented for unit linked assets and liabilities.

Table 1 – Currency risk

Table 1 summarises the Group’s exposure to foreign currency exchange risk, in sterling. The functional currency represents the currency of the primary economic environment in which each of the Group’s subsidiaries operates.

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

45

45

Plant and equipment

61

61

Investments

799

800

30

5,277

6,906

Purchased interests in long term business

146

146

Other operational assets

3

5

(5)

2,577

2,580

Total assets

802

805

25

8,106

9,738

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

573

1,324

1,897

Participating contract liabilities

Non-participating contract liabilities

31

20

1,665

1,716

Senior borrowings

66

1,176

1,242

Other liabilities

10

242

2,273

2,525

Total liabilities

31

649

262

6,438

7,380

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered on a net basis. Accordingly the table above presents derivative liabilities of £118m as a deduction to non profit non-unit linked investments and other liabilities.

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

Plant and equipment

Investments1

76

7,455

19

15,812

23,362

Purchased interests in long term business

Other operational assets

2,468

2,468

Total assets

76

7,455

19

18,280

25,830

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

Participating contract liabilities

34

34

Non-participating contract liabilities

22,465

22,465

Senior borrowings

9

9

Other liabilities1

92

7,239

(5,761)

1,570

Total liabilities

92

7,248

16,738

24,078

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With-profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

Plant and equipment

Investments

721

645

406

681

17,122

19,575

Purchased interests in long term business

Other operational assets

1

259

260

Total assets

721

646

406

681

17,381

19,835

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

Participating contract liabilities

17,218

17,218

Non-participating contract liabilities

1,953

1,953

Senior borrowings

40

40

Other liabilities

19

23

1

(1)

535

577

Total liabilities

19

23

1

(1)

19,746

19,788

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

14

14

Plant and equipment

75

75

Investments

886

423

59

87

6,265

7,720

Purchased interests in long term business

118

118

Other operational assets

1

3

(2)

2,925

2,927

Total assets

887

426

59

85

9,397

10,854

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

539

1,118

1,657

Participating contract liabilities

Non-participating contract liabilities

25

1

13

1

2,474

2,514

Senior borrowings

92

1,939

2,031

Other liabilities

272

848

1,117

2,237

Total liabilities

25

904

861

1

6,648

8,439

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered on a net basis. Accordingly, the table above presents derivative liabilities of £388m as a deduction to non profit non-unit linked investments and other liabilities.

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

Plant and equipment

Investments1

1,576

4,435

14,578

20,589

Purchased interests in long term business

109

109

Other operational assets

3

2,402

2,405

Total assets

1,576

4,438

17,089

23,103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

Participating contract liabilities

39

39

Non-participating contract liabilities

19,070

19,070

Senior borrowings

29

29

Other liabilities1

1,545

4,423

(3,207)

2,761

Total liabilities

1,545

4,423

15,931

21,899

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With-profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

US Dollar
£m

Japanese Yen
£m

Other
£m

Functional currency
£m

Carrying value
£m

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in associates

Plant and equipment

Investments

646

665

443

457

16,869

19,080

Purchased interests in long term business

Other operational assets

1

5

1

6

380

393

Total assets

647

670

444

463

17,249

19,473

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subordinated borrowings

Participating contract liabilities

16,890

16,890

Non-participating contract liabilities

1,944

1,944

Senior borrowings

74

74

Other liabilities

264

302

(110)

456

Total liabilities

264

302

18,798

19,364

The Group’s management of currency risk reduces shareholders’ exposure to exchange rate fluctuations. The Group’s exposure to a 10% exchange movement in the US Dollar and Euro on an [IFRS] basis, net of hedging activities, is detailed in Table 2.

Table 2 – Currency sensitivity analysis

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Currency sensitivity test

Impact on
pre-tax profit
2009
£m

Impact on equity
2009
£m

Impact on
pre-tax profit
2008
£m

Impact on equity
2008
£m

10% Euro appreciation

14

10

1

1

10% US Dollar appreciation

75

54

(42)

(29)

Other price risk

Other price risk is the risk that the fair value of future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market prices, other than those arising from interest rate risk or currency risk. These changes may be as a result of features of the individual instrument, its issuer, or factors affecting all similar financial instruments traded in the market.

The Group controls its exposure to geographic price risks by using internal country credit ratings. These ratings are based on macroeconomic data and key qualitative indicators. The latter take into account economic, social and political environments. Table 3 indicates the Group’s exposure to different equity markets around the world. Unit linked equity investments are excluded from the table as the risk is retained by the policyholder.

Table 3 – Exposure to worldwide equity markets

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Share-holder 2009
£m

Non profit non-unit linked 2009
£m

With-profits 2009
£m

Total
2009
£m

Share- holder 2008
£m

Non profit non-unit linked 2008
£m

With-profits 2008
£m

Total
2008
£m

UK

439

2,029

2,468

697

69

1,968

2,734

North America

26

369

395

61

353

414

Europe

27

676

703

230

529

759

Japan

404

404

70

433

503

Asia Pacific

46

461

507

26

335

361

Other

3

57

60

58

8

66

Listed equities

541

3,996

4,537

1,142

69

3,626

4,837

Unlisted UK equities

85

16

101

9

66

75

Holdings in unit trusts

230

449

679

166

429

595

Total equities

856

4,461

5,317

1,317

69

4,121

5,507

The Group holds non-unit linked property investments totalling £139m (2008: £189m), of which £132m (2008: £182m) are located in the UK.

Credit risk

The Group’s credit risk policy defines the overall framework for the management of credit risk. Significant areas where the Group is exposed to credit risk are:

  • The Group holds corporate bonds to back part of its insurance liabilities. Significant exposures are managed by the application and regular review of concentration limits, with allowance being made in the actuarial valuation of the insurance liabilities for possible defaults.
  • The Group limits its exposure to insurance risk by ceding part of the risks it assumes to the reinsurance market. To limit the risk of reinsurer default the Group operates a credit rating policy when arranging cover. When selecting new reinsurance partners the Group considers only companies which have a minimum credit rating equivalent to A- from Standard & Poor’s. Exposure limits for new and existing reinsurers are determined based on credit ratings and projected exposure.

Aggregate counterparty exposures are regularly monitored both at an individual subsidiary level and on a Groupwide basis.

The credit profile of the Group’s assets exposed to credit risk is shown in Table 4. The credit rating bands are provided by independent rating agencies. For unrated assets, the Group maintains internal ratings which are used to manage exposure to these counterparties. Unit linked assets have not been included as shareholders are not directly exposed to risk.

The carrying amount of non-unit linked assets included in the balance sheet represents the maximum credit exposure.

Table 4 – Exposure to credit risk

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

1.

‘A’ rated cash and cash equivalents include £246m (2008: £301m) holdings in commercial paper which are short term instruments which carry a short term rating of A1+/A1 from Standard & Poor’s.

Government securities

 

832

25

5

1

863

Other fixed rate securities

 

297

185

920

631

74

39

2,146

Variable rate securities

 

510

108

149

52

14

55

888

Total debt securities

19i

1,639

318

1,074

684

88

94

3,897

Accrued interest

19i

14

3

15

12

2

1

47

Loans and receivables

19ii

16

23

91

130

Derivative assets

20

108

149

257

Cash and cash equivalents1

27

114

421

780

266

1,581

Financial assets

 

1,767

866

2,041

696

90

452

5,912

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

16

34

147

83

280

Other assets

26

80

57

80

13

222

452

 

 

1,863

957

2,268

709

90

757

6,644

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered net. For presentation in the balance sheet the components of the CDOs are shown within investments (£956m), cash equivalents (£266m) and derivative liabilities (£118m).

Government securities

 

547

25

6

578

Other fixed rate securities

 

914

1,444

7,078

6,025

546

590

16,597

Variable rate securities1

 

1,148

492

1,065

238

32

1,104

158

4,237

Total debt securities

19i

2,609

1,961

8,149

6,263

578

1,104

748

21,412

Accrued interest

19i

21

30

156

134

14

9

364

Loans and receivables

19ii

1

1

Derivative assets

20

5

274

990

1,269

Cash and cash equivalents1

27

27

71

218

316

Financial assets

 

2,662

2,337

9,513

6,397

592

1,104

757

23,362

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

31

689

872

32

1,624

Other assets

26

1

118

119

 

 

2,693

3,027

10,385

6,397

592

1,104

907

25,105

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With-profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

Government securities

 

2,093

51

56

19

1

2,220

Other fixed rate securities

 

3,905

854

2,645

1,365

126

513

9,408

Variable rate securities

 

117

33

51

4

5

210

Total debt securities

19i

6,115

938

2,752

1,388

126

519

11,838

Accrued interest

19i

102

22

66

43

3

11

247

Loans and receivables

19ii

148

147

1

296

Derivative assets

20

1

58

4

63

Cash and cash equivalents

27

145

126

1,062

1,333

Financial assets

 

6,362

1,235

4,085

1,431

129

535

13,777

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

1

2

3

Other assets

26

101

101

 

 

6,362

1,235

4,086

1,431

129

638

13,881

At the year end, the Group held £793m (2008: £1,023m) of collateral in respect of non-unit linked derivative assets.

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

Government securities

 

805

25

2

832

Other fixed rate securities

 

454

158

881

528

13

42

2,076

Variable rate securities

 

541

127

132

66

2

51

919

Total debt securities

19i

1,800

310

1,015

594

15

93

3,827

Accrued interest

19i

21

5

17

12

1

56

Loans and receivables

19ii

4

6

88

98

Derivative assets

20

135

170

305

Cash and cash equivalents

27

166

549

1,191

23

1,929

Financial assets

 

1,987

1,003

2,399

606

15

205

6,215

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

8

158

31

1

11

103

312

Other assets

26

36

87

16

347

486

 

 

1,995

1,197

2,517

623

26

655

7,013

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered net. For presentation in the balance sheet the components of the CDOs are shown within variable rate securities (£1,266m) and derivative liabilities (£388m).

Government securities

 

663

12

675

Other fixed rate securities

 

1,126

1,522

6,022

3,437

161

623

12,891

Variable rate securities1

 

977

473

963

252

878

94

3,637

Total debt securities

19i

2,766

2,007

6,985

3,689

161

878

717

17,203

Accrued interest

19i

31

37

161

90

7

9

335

Loans and receivables

19ii

Derivative assets

20

11

654

1,326

3

1,994

Cash and cash equivalents

27

362

148

478

988

Financial assets

 

3,170

2,846

8,950

3,782

168

878

726

20,520

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

4

1,072

419

42

1,537

Other assets

26

1

120

121

 

 

3,174

3,919

9,369

3,782

168

878

888

22,178

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With-profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

BB and
below
£m

Unrated bespoke CDOs
£m

Unrated other
£m

Total
£m

Government securities

 

1,991

6

1,997

Other fixed rate securities

 

3,455

957

2,767

1,123

44

587

8,933

Variable rate securities

 

158

37

62

3

5

265

Total debt securities

19i

5,604

1,000

2,829

1,126

44

592

11,195

Accrued interest

19i

95

26

77

35

3

15

251

Loans and receivables

19ii

70

25

187

282

Derivative assets

20

7

59

66

Cash and cash equivalents

27

114

91

1,326

3

1,534

Financial assets

 

5,813

1,194

4,316

1,161

47

797

13,328

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

1

13

14

Other assets

26

163

163

 

 

5,813

1,195

4,316

1,161

47

973

13,505

Table 5 provides information regarding the carrying value of financial assets which have been impaired and the ageing analysis of financial assets which are past due but not impaired. Unit linked assets have not been included as shareholders are not exposed to the risks from unit linked policies.

Table 5 – Ageing of financial assets that are past due but not impaired

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

Government securities

 

863

863

Other fixed rate securities

 

2,146

2,146

Variable rate securities

 

883

5

888

Total debt securities

19i

3,892

5

3,897

Accrued interest

19i

47

47

Loans and receivables

19ii

130

130

Derivative assets

20

257

257

Cash equivalents

27

1,372

10

1,382

Financial assets

 

5,698

10

5

5,713

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

280

280

Other assets

26

429

19

1

3

452

 

 

6,407

29

1

8

6,445

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered net. For presentation in the balance sheet the components of the CDOs are shown within investments (£956m), cash equivalents (£266m) and derivative liabilities (£118m).

Government securities

 

578

578

Other fixed rate securities

 

16,597

16,597

Variable rate securities1

 

4,237

4,237

Total debt securities

19i

21,412

21,412

Accrued interest

19i

364

364

Loans and receivables

19ii

1

1

Derivative assets

20

1,269

1,269

Cash equivalents

27

218

218

Financial assets

 

23,264

23,264

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

1,624

1,624

Other assets

26

17

97

2

1

2

119

 

 

24,905

97

2

1

2

25,007

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With profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

Government securities

 

2,220

2,220

Other fixed rate securities

 

9,408

9,408

Variable rate securities

 

210

210

Total debt securities

19i

11,838

11,838

Accrued interest

19i

247

247

Loans and receivables

19ii

296

296

Derivative assets

20

63

63

Cash equivalents

27

1,271

1,271

Financial assets

 

13,715

13,715

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

3

3

Other assets

26

72

25

1

3

101

 

 

13,790

25

1

3

13,819

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Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

1.

The £23m of debt securities that have been impaired include Other fixed rate securities in the US, primarily Lehman Brothers (£15m) and Harrah’s (£4m).

Government securities

 

832

832

Other fixed rate securities1

 

2,076

23

2,076

Variable rate securities

 

915

4

919

Total debt securities

19i

3,823

4

23

3,827

Accrued interest

19i

56

56

Loans and receivables

19ii

98

98

Derivative assets

20

305

305

Cash equivalents

27

1,692

1,692

Financial assets

 

5,974

4

23

5,978

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

312

312

Other assets

26

453

25

3

3

2

4

486

 

 

6,739

25

3

3

6

27

6,776

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Non profit non-unit linked

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

1.

For risk management purposes, bespoke consolidated CDOs are considered net. For presentation in the balance sheet the components of the CDOs are shown within variable rate securities (£1,266m) and derivative liabilities (£388m).

Government securities

 

675

675

Other fixed rate securities

 

12,891

12,891

Variable rate securities1

 

3,637

3,637

Total debt securities

19i

17,203

17,203

Accrued interest

19i

335

335

Loans and receivables

19ii

Derivative assets

20

1,994

1,994

Cash equivalents

27

856

856

Financial assets

 

20,388

20,388

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

1,537

1,537

Other assets

26

22

74

9

9

7

10

121

 

 

21,947

74

9

9

7

10

22,046

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With-profits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets
that are past due but not impaired

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

Notes

Neither
past
due nor
impaired
£m

0-3
months
£m

3-6
months
£m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Over
1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
£m

Carrying
value
£m

Government securities

 

1,997

1,997

Other fixed rate securities

 

8,933

8,933

Variable rate securities

 

265

265

Total debt securities

19i

11,195

11,195

Accrued interest

19i

251

251

Loans and receivables

19ii

282

282

Derivative assets

20

66

66

Cash equivalents

27

1,434

1,434

Financial assets

 

13,228

13,228

Reinsurers’ share of
contract liabilities

21

14

14

Other assets

26

138

21

1

1

2

2

163

 

 

13,380

21

1

1

2

2

13,405

Liquidity risk

The Group’s liquidity risk policy defines the overall framework for the management of liquidity risk. The Group does not seek exposure to liquidity risk in its own right, but recognises that exposure to liquidity risk can arise as a consequence of the markets in which it operates, the products that it writes and through the execution of investment management strategies.

The liquidity risks to which Legal & General’s insurance businesses may be exposed primarily stem from low probability events that if not adequately planned for may result in unanticipated liquidity requirements. Such events may include a flu pandemic or natural disaster leading to significantly higher levels of claims than would normally be expected and extreme market conditions impacting the timing of cash flows or the ability to realise investments at a given value within a specified timeframe. Collateral requirements for derivative/futures transactions and other types of financial instrument can also give rise to liquidity risk if sufficient cash or suitable alternative assets are not available to meet collateral calls when due. At a Group level, liquidity risk may arise in extreme market conditions, should the Group be unable to issue short term debt or commercial paper.

A limited level of contingent liquidity risk is an accepted element of writing contracts of insurance. However, the Group’s insurance businesses seek to maintain sufficient liquid assets and standby facilities to meet a prudent estimate of the cash outflows that may arise from contingent events. The level of required liquidity to be maintained by insurance funds is identified using techniques including cash flow analysis for ranges of extreme scenarios and stress tests for shock events.

To ensure an appropriate pool of liquid assets are maintained in line with a prudent estimate of cash outflows, the profile of investment assets held to meet future liabilities from writing insurance business are structured to include an appropriate proportion of cash and other readily realisable assets. The required profile is formally defined as part of asset benchmarks provided to the investment managers, with regular management information provided by the investment manager on the actual holding relative to the fund benchmarks. The level of insurance funds held in cash and other readily realisable assets at 31 December 2009 was £2.2bn.

In addition to each insurance fund maintaining a pool of liquid assets, the Group’s Treasury function provides formal facilities to the Group’s operating subsidiaries to cover contingent liquidity requirements arising from more extreme events and where investment assets may not be readily realisable. The facility available to each subsidiary is determined through analysis of potential shock events and the potential timing differences that may arise in cash flows.

Specific liquidity risks associated with the Group’s core product lines and the risk mitigation techniques are as follows:

Annuities: Potential for liquidity risk arises within two specific aspects of the Group’s annuity businesses – (i) future pension commitments and (ii) risk hedging strategies.

(i) Future pension commitments - Once business has been written, cash outflows for pensions in payment are generally predictable, enabling the Group to structure the liquidity, income and maturity profile of investment assets backing long term liabilities to meet projected cash outflows. Although variations in longevity can alter the duration of cash outflows over the long term, trends are gradual, providing opportunity to respond with appropriate risk mitigation strategies.

(ii) Risk hedging strategies - As part of the investment asset management strategy for the Group’s UK annuities business, financial instruments are utilised to manage exposure to fluctuations in interest rates, inflation and foreign currency, which may otherwise result in long term liabilities being unmatched. Financial instruments are also used to mitigate the impact of rating downgrades and defaults within corporate bond portfolios. The use of such financial instruments can require the posting of collateral with counterparties, and as such an appropriate pool of the asset types specified by counterparties must either be held or readily available. In this context, the Group’s annuities business held a coverage ratio of 3.5 times its required collateral as at 31 December 2009. Liquidity requirements in excess of the surplus assets would be met by funds held by the Group’s Treasury function.

Typically within the overall fund of investment assets held to meet the long term liabilities arising from annuity business, £550m is held in cash and other highly liquid investment types for general liquidity purposes.

Protection: Potential for liquidity risk within the Group’s protection businesses may arise should the rate of claims diverge significantly from that anticipated, typically as a consequence of an extreme event.

The risk of being unable to settle claims as they fall due is actively managed with provision being made and cash pools maintained within investment portfolios for a prudent estimate of the potential claims that may arise from in-force business, taking account of extreme events. Such provisions are validated using stress tests. The use of reassurance also acts to mitigate liquidity; the effect of the treaties being to limit the Group’s liability for the overall sums assured, with a recovery being made from the reinsurance counterparty for that element of the claim covered by the treaty. Whilst timing differences can arise between the payment of claims and reimbursement by reinsurance counterparties, the Group seeks to ensure that these are accommodated from cash pools and intra-group facilities.

With-profits: Exposure to liquidity risk may arise if the profile of investment assets held to meet obligations to with-profits policyholders is not aligned with the maturity profile of policies, or the profile does not adequately take account of the rights of policyholders to exercise options or guarantees to specified early surrender terms or minimum rates of return.

Liquidity risk associated with with-profits business is managed through the analysis of the maturity profile of the fund taking account of projected future levels of bonus, policyholders reasonable expectations and projected early withdrawals, and ensuring that an appropriate proportion of the fund is held in cash or other readily realisable assets to meet each tranche of maturities and anticipated early withdrawals as they fall due. Where policyholders have discretion to require early payment of policy proceeds (for example by requesting a surrender value), appropriate contractual safeguards are in place to ensure that the fund and remaining policyholders are not disadvantaged should a material number of policyholders exercise this discretion.

Unit linked business: Investment risks associated with unit linked business, including those associated with liquidity, are generally borne by the holders of units in these funds. Liquidity risk specifically arises for unit holders in that certain asset classes in which the funds invest such as property in certain market conditions may not be readily realisable or only realisable in a specified timeframe at a diminution of value. Liquidity risks associated with these asset classes are documented and communicated to customers in point of sale product literature. Product terms & conditions also highlight that for certain product types that include asset classes that may be illiquid, the Group retains the right to defer the processing of fund withdrawal requests for up to six months, should underlying assets need to be realised to meet payment requests. To minimise the need to invoke these terms, the funds seek to maintain sufficient holdings in cash assets to meet foreseeable withdrawal activity.

The Group’s treasury function manages the Group’s banking relationships, capital raising activities, overall cash and liquidity position and the payment of dividends. The Group seeks to manage its corporate funds and liquidity requirements on a pooled basis and to ensure the Group maintains sufficient liquid assets and standby facilities to meet a prudent estimate of its net cash outflows. In addition, it ensures that, even under adverse conditions, the Group has access to the funds necessary to cover surrenders, withdrawals and maturing liabilities. The Group has in place a £960m syndicated borrowing facility, expiring in 2012, which provides flexibility in the management of the Group’s liquidity.

Other risks

Operational risk

All business managers are required to confirm regularly the adequacy of controls over operational risks to business unit Risk and Compliance Committees (RCCs), the Group Risk Committee and the Group Audit Committee. Significant control issues which business areas identify are escalated to business unit [RCCs], which oversee their resolution. There are a number of categories under which operational risk and its management across the Group can be considered, and these are outlined in the following paragraphs.

Internal process failure

The Group is potentially exposed to the risk of loss from failure of the internal processes with which it transacts its business. Each subsidiary is responsible for ensuring the adequacy of the controls over its processes and regular reviews are undertaken of their appropriateness and effectiveness.

People

The Group is potentially exposed to the risk of loss from inappropriate actions by its staff. The risk is actively managed by business management and human resource (HR) functions. Recruitment is managed centrally by [HR] functions, and all new recruits undergo a formal induction programme. All employees have job descriptions setting out their accountabilities and reporting lines, and are appraised annually in accordance with agreed performance management frameworks. Employees in regulated subsidiaries are provided with appropriate training to enable them to meet the relevant regulatory requirements. Risks relating to health and safety and other legislation are managed through the provision of relevant training to all staff.

Outsourcing

The Group is potentially exposed to the actions or failure of suppliers contracted to provide services on an outsourced basis. The required minimum standards of control for outsourced arrangements are set out in the Group’s outsourcing and key supplier policy.

Legal

Legal risk is the risk of loss from unclear or deficient product documentation; inadequate documentation in support of material contracts such as reassurance treaties; the incorrect interpretation of changes in legislation; employment related disputes and claims; and commercial disputes with suppliers. The risks are actively managed through the Group Legal Risk framework, which defines minimum standards of control to be applied to minimise the risk of loss.

Compliance

Compliance risk within the Group relates to the risk of non-adherence to legislative requirements, regulations and internal policies and procedures. Responsibility for ensuring adherence to relevant legal and regulatory requirements is vested in individual business managers. A Group compliance function has oversight of the Group’s compliance with conduct of business requirements and standards, providing policy advice and guidance and oversight of compliance arrangements and responsibilities.

Event

Event risk relates to the potential for loss arising from significant external events such as terrorism, financial crisis, major changes in fiscal systems or disaster. Typically, such events have a low likelihood of occurrence, a material impact and can be difficult to prevent. The Group’s risk mitigation focuses on minimising the business disruption and potential financial loss which may ensue from such an event. This includes maintaining a framework for the management of major incidents, the maintenance and regular testing of detailed business, technical and location recovery plans and the provision of insurance cover for the loss of buildings, contents and information technology systems and for the increased cost of working in the event of business disruption.

Fraud

The Group is potentially exposed to the risk of internal fraud, claims-related fraud, and external action by third parties. The risk of internal fraud is managed through a number of processes including the screening of staff at recruitment, segregation of duties and management oversight. The activities of Internal Audit also act to counter the risk. Claims-related fraud is managed by ensuring business processes are designed to fully validate claims and ensure that only bona fide claims are settled. Anti-fraud techniques are regularly updated to mitigate risks and emerging threats. The Group’s approach to mitigating fraud and other dishonest acts is supported by promoting an open and honest culture in all dealings between employees, managers and those parties with which the Group has contact. A formal code of ethics sets out the Group’s expectations in this respect. Effective and honest communication is essential if malpractice is to be effectively dealt with. The Group has defined whistle blowing procedures to enable all employees and those who work with Legal & General to raise matters of concern relating to Legal & General in confidence. Personnel independent of the business reporting line act as designated whistle blowing contacts and include the heads of Internal Audit and Group Compliance. The Group also operates a hotline facility to report concerns, either in confidence or anonymously.

Technology

The Group places a high degree of reliance on [IT] in its business activities. The failure of IT systems could potentially expose the Group to significant business disruption and loss. To mitigate this risk, standards and methodologies for developing, testing and operating IT systems are maintained. There is a centralised management for development activity and production systems to ensure consistency and adherence to standards. Disaster recovery facilities enable [IT] operations to be conducted at remote locations in the event of the loss of computer facilities at a principal office site. All records are remotely backed up and computer suites are equipped with alternative power sources.

Contagion risk

The potential for contagion risk arises as a consequence of:

  • the use of a common brand across the majority of the Group;
  • the provision of intra-group loans and indemnities.

The Group has defined policies and procedures for managing matters that may have reputational implications, to ensure that Legal & General’s position is correctly understood. The Group also has defined policies for the provision of guarantees, indemnities and letters of comfort.

Concentration of risk

As part of the ongoing risk assessment processes the Group considers the concentration of risk. The Group seeks to manage concentrations by setting limits around the maximum exposure to loss that it can tolerate from a series of related events. Limits set include maximum exposures to single lives, geographic locations, financial instruments and reinsurance balances.

Long term insurance risks

UK long term insurance products are structured as either participating or non-participating. The level of shareholders’ interest in the value of policies and their share of the related profit or loss varies depending upon the contract structure.

Non-participating contracts

Non-participating business is written mainly in the non profit part of the [Society] [LTF]. Profits accrue solely to shareholders. In addition, there is some non-participating business in the with-profits part of the Society LTF where the profits are shared between participating policyholders and shareholders.

Protection business (individual and group)

The Group offers protection products which provide mortality or morbidity benefits. They may include health, disability, critical illness and accident benefits; these additional benefits are commonly provided as supplements to main life policies but can also be sold separately. The benefit amounts would usually be specified in the policy terms. Some sickness benefits cover the policyholder’s mortgage repayments and are linked to the prevailing mortgage interest rates. In addition to these benefits, some contracts may guarantee premium rates, provide guaranteed insurability benefits and offer policyholders conversion options.

Life savings business

A range of contracts are offered in a variety of different forms to meet customers’ long term savings objectives. Policyholders may choose to include a number of protection benefits within their savings contracts. Typically, any guarantees under the contract would only apply on maturity or earlier death. On certain older contracts there may be provisions guaranteeing surrender benefits. Savings contracts may or may not guarantee policyholders an investment return. Where the return is guaranteed, the Group may be exposed to interest rate risk with respect to the backing assets.

Pensions (individual and corporate)

These are long term savings contracts through which policyholders accumulate pension benefits. Some older contracts contain a basic guaranteed benefit expressed as an amount of pension payable or a guaranteed annuity option, which exposes the Group to interest rate and longevity risk. These guarantees become more costly during periods when interest rates are low or when annuitant mortality improves faster than expected. The ultimate cost will also depend on the take-up rate of any option and the final form of annuity selected by the policyholder.

Other options provided by these contracts include an open market option on maturity, early retirement and late retirement. The Group would generally have discretion over the terms on which these options are offered.

Annuities

Deferred and immediate annuity contracts are offered. Immediate annuities provide a regular income stream to the policyholder, purchased with a lump sum investment, where the income stream starts immediately after the purchase. The income stream from a deferred annuity is delayed until a specified future date. Bulk annuities are also offered, where the Group accepts the assets and liabilities of a company pension scheme or a life fund.

Non-participating deferred annuities written by the Group do not contain guaranteed cash options.

Annuity products provide guaranteed income for a specified time, usually the life of the policyholder, in exchange for a lump sum capital payment. No surrender value is available under any of these products. The primary risks to the Group from annuity products are therefore mortality improvements and investment performance.

There is a block of immediate and deferred annuities within the UK non profit business with benefits linked to changes in the [RPI], but with contractual maximum or minimum increases. In particular, most of these annuities have a provision that the annuity will not reduce if RPI becomes negative. The total of such annuities in payment at 31 December 2009 was £242m (2008: £226m). Thus, 1% negative inflation, which was reversed in the following year would result in a guarantee cost of approximately £2m (2008: £2m). Negative inflation sustained over a longer period would give rise to significantly greater guarantee costs. Some of these guarantee costs have been partially matched through the purchase of negative inflation hedges and limited price indexation swaps.

Key risk factors

(a) Insurance risk

(i) Mortality
For contracts providing death benefits, higher mortality rates would lead to an increase in claims costs. For annuity contracts, the Group is exposed to the risk that mortality experience is lower than assumed; lower than expected mortality would require payments to be made for longer and increase the cost of benefits provided. The Group regularly reviews its mortality experience and industry projections of longevity and adjusts the valuation and pricing assumptions accordingly.

The Group is exposed to mortality risk on protection and annuity business. For protection products, the Group has entered into reinsurance arrangements to mitigate this risk and provide financing.

(ii) Persistency
In the early years of a policy, lapses and surrenders are likely to result in a loss to the Group, as the acquisition costs associated with the contract would not have been recovered from product margins. Some contracts include surrender deductions to mitigate this risk.

In later periods, once the acquisition costs have been recouped, the effect of lapses and surrenders depends upon the relationship between the exit benefit, if any, and the liability for that contract. Exit benefits are not generally guaranteed and the Group has some discretion in determining the amount of the payment. As a result, the effect on profit at later duration is expected to be broadly neutral.

Following the adoption of PS06/14 in 2006 the persistency assumption for non-participating protection business allows for the expected pattern of persistency, adjusted to incorporate a margin for adverse deviation.

There is no persistency risk exposure for annuities in payment, and these contracts do not provide a lapse or surrender option.

(iii) Morbidity rates
The cost of health related claims depends on both the incidence of policyholders becoming ill and the duration over which they remain ill. Higher than expected incidence or duration would increase costs over the level currently assumed in the calculation of liabilities.

(iv) Expense variances
Higher expenses and/or expense inflation will tend to increase the amount of the reserves required. The Group is exposed to the risk that its liabilities are not sufficient to cover future expenses.

(v) Geographic concentrations of risk
Insurance risk may be concentrated in geographic regions, altering the risk profile of the Group. The most significant exposure of this type arises for the group protection business, where a single event could result in a large number of related claims. To reduce the overall exposure, current contracts include an ‘event limit’ which caps the total liability. Additionally, excess of loss reinsurance arrangements further mitigate the exposure.

(vi) Epidemics
The spread of an epidemic could cause large aggregate claims across the Group’s portfolio. Quota share reinsurance contracts are used to manage this risk. The management of associated counterparty risks from the use of reinsurance is set out above. Depending on the nature of an epidemic, mortality experience may lead to a reduction in the cost of claims for annuity business.

(vii) Accumulation of risks
There is limited potential for single incidents to give rise to a large number of claims across the different contract types written by the Group. In particular, there is little significant overlap between the long term and short term insurance business written by the Group. However, there are potentially material correlations of insurance risk with other types of risk exposure. These correlations are difficult to estimate though they would tend to be more acute as the underlying risk scenarios became more extreme. An example of the accumulation of risk is the correlation between reinsurer credit risk with mortality and morbidity exposures.

(b) Market risk

Investment of the assets backing the Group liabilities reflects the nature of the liabilities being supported. For non-participating business, the strategy is to invest in fixed income securities of appropriate maturity dates. The risk of default on fixed interest securities is managed through diversified portfolios with exposure limits for individual economies, sectors and counterparties.

Interest rate risk is reduced by managing the duration and maturity structure of each investment portfolio in relation to the estimated cash flows of the liabilities it supports. A number of derivatives are held to enable the closer matching of assets and liabilities and to mitigate further exposure to interest rate movements, in particular, to limit the exposure to any options and guarantees in contracts.

In addition, the exposure to these risks is allowed for in the actuarial valuation of liabilities under these contracts.

Participating contracts

Participating contracts are supported by the with-profits part of the Society LTF. They offer policyholders the possibility of the payment of benefits in addition to those guaranteed by the contract. The amount and timing of the additional benefits (usually called bonuses) are contractually at the discretion of the Group.

Discretionary increases to benefits on participating contracts are allowed in one or both of annual and final bonus form. These bonuses are determined in accordance with the principles outlined in the Group’s [PPFM] for the management of the with-profits part of the [Society] [LTF]. The principles include:

  • The with-profits part of the Society LTF will be managed with the objective of ensuring that its assets are sufficient to meet its liabilities without the need for additional capital.
  • With-profits policies have no expectation of any distribution from the with-profits part of the Society LTF’s inherited estate. The inherited estate is the excess of assets held within the Society LTF over and above the amount required to meet liabilities, including those which arise from the regulatory duty to treat customers fairly in settling discretionary benefits.
  • Bonus rates will be smoothed so that some of the short term fluctuations in the value of the investments of the with-profits part of the Society LTF and the business results achieved in the with-profits part of the UK LTF are not immediately reflected in payments under with-profits policies.

At 30 June 2005 an assessment was made of the expected cost of guarantees and options to be paid in the future, and funds with the same value to meet these costs were allocated from the capital in the with-profits sub-fund. The value of the funds is regularly assessed and is reduced by the cost of guarantees and options paid since 1 July 2005. At each assessment point, if the value of the funds is lower than the expected cost of guarantees and options, it is possible to make deductions from asset shares to cover the difference. It is intended to limit deductions to no more than 0.75% each year, up to a maximum of 5% per policy.

Following the movement in the expected cost and the value of the associated funds up to 31 December 2009, and in accordance with the Group’s PPFM, a refund of 0.4% was made to the asset shares. This followed a deduction of 0.75% made in respect of the year to 31 December 2008. In the technical provisions, allowance has also been made for future deductions in respect of the expected costs of meeting future guarantees and options not covered by the current year deduction. For policyholders who decide to surrender a charge will generally be made in respect of the expected cost of guarantees and options not covered by the charge already taken.

Some older participating contracts include a guaranteed minimum rate of roll up of the policyholder’s fund up to the date of retirement or maturity.

The nature of the participating contracts written in the with-profits part of the Society LTF is that more emphasis can be placed on investing to maximise future investment returns. This results in a broader range of investments being held within the fund.

With-profits bonds

These contracts provide an investment return to the policyholder which is determined by the attribution of regular and final bonuses over the duration of the contract. In addition, the contracts provide a death benefit, typically of 101% of the value of the units allocated to the policyholder.

Pension contracts

The Group has sold pension contracts containing guaranteed annuity options which expose the Group to both interest rate and longevity risk. The market consistent value of these guarantees carried in the balance sheet is £31m (2008: £48m).

Deferred annuity contracts

The Group has written some deferred annuity contracts which guaranteed minimum pensions. These options expose the Group to interest rate and longevity risk as the cost would be expected to increase with decreasing interest rates and improved longevity. The market consistent value of these guarantees carried in the balance sheet is £111m (2008: £133m).

Endowment contracts

These contracts provide a lump sum on maturity determined by the addition of annual and final bonuses over the duration of the contract. In addition, the contracts provide a minimum sum assured death benefit.

Key risk factors

The insurance and market risk exposures for participating business are largely the same as those discussed for non-participating contracts. The main differences in the operation of these contracts are discussed below.

(a) Insurance risk - Persistency

At early durations, the nature of the persistency risks on with-profits business is largely the same as for non-participating business and is influenced mainly by the ability to recover acquisition costs from product margins. At later durations, there is less scope for withdrawal to result in a loss for the Group as these contracts typically provide explicit allowances for market conditions. Allowance for future withdrawals is made in the assessment of participating contract liabilities. The Group is generally exposed to the risk that future withdrawals are lower than assumed, resulting in higher future guarantee costs.

(b) Market risk

The financial risk exposure for participating contracts is different from that for non-participating business. Greater emphasis is placed on investing to maximise future investment returns rather than matching assets to liabilities. This results in holding significant equity and property investments. Lower investment returns increase the costs associated with maturity and investment guarantees provided on these contracts.

These risks are managed by maintaining capital sufficient to cover the consequences of mismatch under a number of adverse scenarios. In addition, different investment strategies are followed for assets backing policyholder asset shares and assets backing other participating liabilities and surplus. The former include significant equity and property holdings, whilst the latter are invested largely in fixed interest securities. The assets held are managed so as to provide a partial hedge to movements in fixed interest yields and equity markets.

The methodology used to calculate the liabilities for participating contracts makes allowance for the possibility of adverse changes in investment markets on a basis consistent with the market cost of hedging the guarantees provided. The methodology also makes allowance for the cost of future discretionary benefits, guarantees and options.

The value of future discretionary benefits depends on the return achieved on assets backing these contracts. The asset mix varies with investment conditions reflecting the Group’s investment policy, which aims to optimise returns to policyholders over time whilst limiting capital requirements for this business.

The distribution of surplus to shareholders depends upon the bonuses declared for the period. Typically, bonus rates are set having regard to investment returns, although the Group has some discretion setting rates and would normally smooth bonuses over time. The volatility of investment returns could impact the fund’s capital position and its ability to pay bonuses. If future investment conditions were less favourable than anticipated, the lower bonus levels resulting would also reduce future distributions to shareholders.

However, business which is written in the with-profits part of the Society LTF is managed to be self-supporting. The unallocated divisible surplus in the fund would normally be expected to absorb the impact of these investment risks. Only in extreme scenarios, where shareholders were required to provide capital support to the with-profits part of the Society LTF, would these risks affect equity.

As part of the 2007 Society LTF restructure, the 1996 Sub-fund (£321m) was merged into the Shareholder Retained Capital (SRC). As a result, Society’s Board of Directors undertook to initially maintain £500m of assets within Society to support the with-profits business. The amount of the commitment will reduce to £400m in 2010 and then gradually reduce to zero over a period not exceeding eight years.

The Group’s approach to setting bonus rates is designed to treat customers fairly. The approach is set out in the Society’s PPFM for the with-profits part of the Society LTF. In addition, bonus declarations are also affected by [FSA] regulations relating to Treating Customers Fairly (TCF), which limit the discretion available when setting bonus rates. The Group’s approach to setting bonuses and meeting the FSA’s [TCF] regulations may increase the Group’s exposure to market risk should the ability to cut bonuses, during periods when investment returns are poor, be reduced.

Unit linked contracts

The Group’s primary exposure to financial risk from these contracts is the risk of volatility in asset management fees due to the impact of interest rate and market price movements on the fair value of the assets held in the linked funds, on which investment management fees are based. The Group is also exposed to the risk of an expense overrun should the market depress the level of charges which could be imposed, although for some contracts the Group has discretion over the level of management charges levied.

Sensitivity analysis

Table 6 shows the impact on pre-tax profit and equity, net of reinsurance, under each sensitivity scenario for the non-participating business written in the non profit part of the UK LTF.

Table 6 – UK long term business IFRS sensitivity analysis

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Impact on
pre-tax profit
net of reinsurance
2009
£m

Impact on
equity
net of reinsurance
2009
£m

Sensitivity test

 

 

1% increase in interest rates

(92)

(66)

In calculating the alternative values, all other assumptions are left unchanged. In practice, items of the Group’s experience may be correlated.

The Group seeks to actively manage its asset and liability position. A change in market conditions may lead to changes in the asset allocation or charging structure which may have a more, or less, significant impact on the value of the liabilities. The analysis also ignores any second order effects of the assumption change, including the potential impact on the Group asset and liability position and any second order tax effects.

These stresses use the assets that back the liabilities. Any excess assets have not been stressed in these calculations.

The sensitivity of the profit to changes in assumptions may not be linear. They should not be extrapolated to changes of a much larger order.

The change in interest rate test assumes a 100bps change in the gross redemption yield on fixed interest securities together with a 100bps change in the real yields on variable securities. Valuation interest rates are assumed to move in line with market yields adjusted to allow for the impact of FSA regulations.

In the sensitivity for credit spreads corporate bond yields have increased by 100bps, gilt and approved security yields unchanged, and there has been no adjustment to the default assumptions.

The inflation stress adopted is a 1% pa increase in inflation resulting in a 1% pa reduction in real yield and no change to the nominal yield. In addition the expense inflation rate has increased by 1% pa.

The reinsurer stress shown is equal to the technical provisions ceded to that insurer.

The annuitant mortality stress is a 5% reduction in the mortality rates for immediate and deferred annuitants with no change to the mortality improvement rates (so, for example, a rate that was 80% of a standard table would become 76% of that standard table).

1% decrease in interest rates

71

51

Credit spread widens by 100bps with no change in expected defaults

(141)

(101)

1% increase in inflation

(3)

(2)

Default of largest reinsurer

(589)

(424)

5% decrease in annuitant mortality

(281)

(202)

Details of [IGD] sensitivity analysis can be found in Table 2 of Note 46.

International

Legal & General America (LGA)

The principal products written by [LGA] are individual term assurance, universal life insurance and smaller blocks of deferred and immediate annuities.

The individual term assurances provide death benefits over the medium to long term. The contracts have level premiums for an initial period with premiums increasing annually thereafter. During the initial period, there is generally an option to convert the contract to a universal life contract. After the initial period, the premium rates are not guaranteed, but cannot exceed the age related guaranteed premium.

Reinsurance is used to reduce the insurance risk on this portfolio and manage liquidity risks, through the reinsurance commission received under quota share arrangements. Reinsurance and securitisation are used to provide regulatory solvency relief (including relief from regulation Triple X). These practices led to the establishment of reinsurance assets on the Group’s balance sheet.

The universal life insurance and deferred annuities provide a savings component. In addition, the universal life contract provides substantial death benefits over the medium to long term. The savings element has a guaranteed minimum growth rate. LGA has exposure to loss in the event that interest rates decrease and it is unable to earn enough on the underlying assets to cover the guaranteed rate. LGA is also exposed to loss should interest rates increase, as the underlying market value of assets will generally fall without a change in the surrender value. The reserves for universal life and deferred annuities totalled $723m and $221m respectively at 31 December 2009 (31 December 2008: $753m and $230m respectively). The guaranteed interest rates associated with those reserves ranged from 0.0% to 5.5%, with the majority of the policies having a 4% guaranteed rate (2008: 4%).

The deferred annuity contracts also contain a provision that, at maturity, a policyholder may move the account value into an immediate annuity, at rates which are either those currently in effect, or rates guaranteed in the contract. The other annuity contracts have similar risks to those in the UK.

Legal & General Netherlands (LGN)

[LGN] principally writes non-participating individual unit linked savings, individual term assurance and annuity business.

The unit linked savings business generally includes an element of exposure to mortality risk. The individual term assurances provide death benefits over the medium to long term. Reinsurance is used to reduce the share of insurance risk. The annuity contracts have similar risks to those in the UK; however, the majority of annuity business has a term of three years or less.

Legal & General France (LGF)

[LGF] writes a range of long term insurance and investment business through its subsidiaries. The principal products written are group protection, annuities, savings and open ended investment vehicles.

The group protection business consists of group term assurance, renewable on an annual basis, sickness and disability, and medical expenses assurance. The group sickness and disability and medical expenses policies integrate with social security benefits providing a level of top-up to those benefits. Reinsurance is used to manage exposure to large individual and group claims.

The annuity contracts have similar risks to those in the UK.

Savings products include contracts that provide minimum guaranteed rates of return. The guarantee is aligned with current and projected rates of return from government securities. Investment risks associated with open ended investment vehicles are borne by unit holders of these funds.

Sensitivity analysis

Table 7 below shows the effect of alternative assumptions on the long term embedded value, prepared in accordance with the guidance issued by the European Insurance [CFO] Forum in October 2005. These sensitivities correspond to those contained within the Supplementary Financial Statements of the Annual Report & Accounts.

Table 7 – Effect on embedded value

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As at 31 December 2009

As published
£m

1% lower risk discount rate
£m

1% higher risk discount rate
£m

1% lower interest rate
£m

1% higher interest rate
£m

1% higher equity/ property yields
£m

UK

6,267

376

(328)

28

(51)

106

International

1,446

107

(97)

11

(25)

3

 

7,713

483

(425)

39

(76)

109

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2009

As published
£m

10% lower equity/ property values
£m

10% lower maint-
enance expenses
£m

10% lower lapse rates
£m

5% lower mortality (UK annuities)
£m

5% lower mortality (other business)
£m

UK

6,267

(149)

77

75

(157)

59

International

1,446

(6)

13

54

n/a

89

 

7,713

(155)

90

129

(157)

148

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

As published
£m

1% lower risk discount rate
£m

1% higher risk discount rate
£m

1% lower interest rate
£m

1% higher interest rate
£m

1% higher equity/ property yields
£m

UK

6,146

384

(336)

(73)

5

110

International

1,463

126

(109)

17

(23)

3

 

7,609

510

(445)

(56)

(18)

113

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at 31 December 2008

As published
£m

10% lower equity/ property values
£m

10% lower maint-
enance expenses
£m

10% lower lapse rates
£m

5% lower mortality (UK annuities)
£m

5% lower mortality (other business)
£m

UK

6,146

(248)

68

66

(111)

40

International

1,463

(6)

12

59

n/a

95

 

7,609

(254)

80

125

(111)

135

Opposite sensitivities are broadly symmetrical.

The Group also uses embedded value (EV) financial information in addition to IFRS to manage and monitor performance, and to manage interdependences between different aspects of financial risks, for example for market risk. This provides information about the value which is being created on the Group’s long term insurance contracts.

[EV] information is calculated for the Group’s life and pensions business (covered business). All other businesses are accounted for on the [IFRS] basis adopted in the primary financial statements.

The EV methodology requires assets of an insurance company, as reported in the primary financial statements, to be attributed between those supporting the covered business and the remainder. The method accounts for assets in the covered business on an EV basis and the remainder of the Group’s assets on the IFRS basis adopted in the primary financial statements. Sensitivities have been presented for covered business only. In this context the non-covered business is considered not to be material. Whilst [EV] sensitivities do not directly reflect the short term movements under IFRS, they more closely reflect the long term economic out turn.

Cash flow projections are determined using realistic assumptions for each component of cash flow and for each policy group. Future economic and investment return assumptions are based on conditions at the end of the financial year. Future investment returns are projected by one of two methods. The first method is based on an assumed investment return attributed to assets at their market value. The second, which is used in the US, where the investments of that subsidiary are substantially all fixed interest, projects the cash flows from the current portfolio of assets and assumes an investment return on reinvestment of surplus cash flows. The assumed discount and inflation rates are consistent with the investment return assumptions. The main assumptions are provided in the Supplementary Financial Statements.

UK general insurance

The principal products are:

  • Household. These contracts provide cover in respect of policyholders’ homes, investment properties, contents, personal belongings and incidental liabilities which they may incur as a property owner, occupier and individual. Exposure is normally limited to the rebuilding cost of the home, the replacement cost of belongings and a policy limit in respect of liability claims. [LGI] uses reinsurance to manage the exposure to an accumulation of claims arising from any one incident, usually severe weather. The catastrophe cover runs from 1 July to 30 June and reinsures LGI for losses between £30m and £250m (2008/2009: £30m and £270m) for a single weather event.
  • Accident, sickness and unemployment (ASU). These contracts provide cover in respect of continuing payment liabilities incurred by customers when they are unable to work as a result of accident, sickness or unemployment. They protect predominantly mortgage payments. Exposure is limited to the monthly payment level selected by the customer sufficient to cover the payment and associated costs, up to the duration limit specified in the policy, usually 12 months.
  • Motor insurance (in run-off). These contracts provide cover in respect of customers’ private cars and their liability to third parties in respect of damage to property and injury. Exposure is normally limited to the replacement value of the vehicle, and a policy limit in respect of third party property damage. Exposure to third party bodily injury is unlimited in accordance with statutory requirements. The motor book continues in run-off, the final policy having expired in August 2007, but this is expected to take several years.
  • Healthcare (in run-off). These contracts are primarily private medical insurance, which compensate customers for the costs of eligible medical consultations, diagnostic tests, in-patient, day care and outpatient treatment up to the limits specified in the policy. They are mainly exposed to the underlying incidence of morbidity, medical claims inflation and advances in medical treatments. The healthcare business is in run-off with the final policies having expired in July 2008. By 2009, the run-off was substantially complete and the residual claims were minimal.
  • Domestic mortgage indemnity (DMI). These contracts (primarily in run-off) protect a mortgage lender should an insured property be repossessed and subsequently sold at a loss. Since 1993, the contract has included a maximum period of cover of 10 years, and a cap on the maximum claim. For business accepted prior to 1993, cover is unlimited and lasts until the insured property is remortgaged or redeemed.

Key risk factors

Weather events

Significant weather events such as windstorms, and coastal and river floods can lead to significant claims.

Concentration

The insurance of properties which are concentrated in high risk areas, or an above average market share in a particular region, can give rise to a concentration of insurance risk. This risk is managed by ensuring that the risk acceptance policy, terms and premiums both reflect the expected claim cost associated with the location and avoid adverse selection. Additionally, exposure and competitor activity is monitored by location to ensure that there is a geographic spread of business. Catastrophe reinsurance cover reduces the Group’s exposure to concentrations of risk. The catastrophe reinsurance is designed to protect against a modelled windstorm and coastal flood event with a return probability of 1 in 200 years.

Subsidence

The incidence of subsidence can have a significant impact on the level of claims on household policies. The Group’s underwriting and reinsurance strategy mitigates the exposure to concentrations of risk arising from geographic location or adverse selection.

Economic downturn

Periods of rapid and prolonged national economic downturn can create significant variation in the frequency and severity of [ASU] claims experience.

This risk is managed through the monitoring of economic trends and the underwriting of policies to ensure that the customer completing a mortgage loan transaction achieves credit scoring approval.

Unlimited motor claims

A single motor policy can result in major multiple liability claims in extreme scenarios. To mitigate this risk, accident excess of loss reinsurance is in place for claims in excess of £1m (2008: £1m).

Sensitivity analysis

Table 8 shows material sensitivities for the General insurance business on pre-tax profit and equity, net of reinsurance.

Table 8 – General insurance sensitivity analysis

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Impact on
pre-tax profit net of reinsurance
2009
£m

Impact on equity
net of reinsurance
2009
£m

Impact on
pre-tax profit net of reinsurance
2008
£m

Impact on equity
net of reinsurance
2008
£m

Sensitivity test

 

 

 

 

Single storm event with 1 in 200 year probability

(50)

(36)

(50)

(36)

Subsidence event – worst claim ratio in last 30 years

(41)

(29)

(46)

(33)

Economic downturn

(39)

(28)

(39)

(28)

5% decrease in overall claims ratio

8

6

10

7

5% surplus over claims liabilities

5

4

6

4

For any single event with claims in excess of £30m but less than £250m, the ultimate cost to the Group would be £30m. The impact of a 1 in 500 year modelled windstorm and coastal flood event would exceed the catastrophe cover by approximately £120m.

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