17 Sensitivities.


In accordance with the guidance issued by the European Insurance [CFO] Forum in October 2005 the table below shows the effect of alternative assumptions on the long term embedded value and new business contribution.

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Effect on embedded value as at 31 December 2009

 

As published
£m

1% lower risk discount rate
£m

1% higher risk discount rate
£m

1% lower interest rate
£m

1% higher interest rate
£m

1% higher equity/ property yields
£m

UK

6,267

376

(328)

28

(51)

106

International

1,446

107

(97)

11

(25)

3

Total covered business

7,713

483

(425)

39

(76)

109

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As published
£m

10% lower equity/ property values
£m

10% lower maintenance expenses
£m

10% lower lapse rates
£m

5% lower mortality (UK annuities)
£m

5% lower mortality (other business)
£m

UK

6,267

(149)

77

75

(157)

59

International

1,446

(6)

13

54

n/a

89

Total covered business

7,713

(155)

90

129

(157)

148

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Effect on new business contribution for the year

 

As published
£m

1% lower risk discount rate
£m

1% higher risk discount rate
£m

1% lower interest rate
£m

1% higher interest rate
£m

1% higher equity/ property yields
£m

UK

305

45

(39)

7

(12)

16

International

23

17

(14)

(2)

Total covered business

328

62

(53)

7

(14)

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As published
£m

10% lower equity/ property values
£m

10% lower maintenance expenses
£m

10% lower lapse rates
£m

5% lower mortality (UK annuities)
£m

5% lower mortality (other business)
£m

UK

305

(19)

11

14

(12)

6

International

23

1

10

n/a

12

Total covered business

328

(19)

12

24

(12)

18

Opposite sensitivities are broadly symmetrical.

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